Leeds United vs Burnley prediction and betting tips – Calvert-Lewin to net another?

Leeds United take on Burnley in the Premier League for one of the final games of the season as the hosts try to get the best finish as possible on Friday night.

Leeds United vs Burnley best bets

• Bet on Leeds to win to nil at 4/5 on Betfred
• Bet on Leeds to win to nil and Calvert-Lewin to score at 5/2 on Sky Bet
• Back Leeds to win, BTTS – no, Calvert-Lewin to score and over 7 cards at 7/2 on SBK

Leeds United vs Burnley head to head overview

• Date: Friday, May 1 2026.
• Kick-off: 8pm.
• Venue: Elland Road.
• Where to watch: Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event.
• Referee: Tom Bramall.
• Last meeting: Burnley 2-0 Leeds United.
• Last 10 matches: Leeds United 4 wins, 3 draws, Burnley 3 wins.
• Favourite to win: Leeds United.

Leeds United vs Burnley predicted lineups

• Leeds Utd expected lineup: Darlow; Rodon, Bijol, Struijk; Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Justin; Aaronson, Okafor; Calvert-Lewin.
• Burnley expected lineup: Dubravka; Walker, Ekdal, Humphreys, Esteve, Hartman; Tchaouna, Ward-Prowse, Laurent, Anthony; Flemming.

Leeds United vs Burnley predictions

Leeds are essentially out of the way in regards to relegation but there’s still the slimmest of chances with just four games remaining and only six points clear of Tottenham.

But Leeds have gone on a great run of form to progressively distance themselves from the relegation zone, where Burnley find themselves firmly in and already relegated into the Championship.

Leeds United are four points clear of West Ham and another point ahead of Nottingham Forest.

The Whites could really guarantee safety having virtually done so already having picked up 40 points.

Leeds United vs Burnley betting tips

Leeds on top

Leeds face Tottenham ten days after they take on Burnley, another huge relegation battle in the Premier League.

But a win here at home against a side who’ve lost 22 already this season is more than likely.

So much so Leeds are huge odds-on favourites to win having accumulated double the points of the visitors.

Their unbeaten run in all comps came to an end with a narrow 1-0 loss to Chelsea at Wembley Stadium in the FA Cup semi-finals, having gone seven games without a loss.

That included a 2-2 draw to West Ham in the FA Cup quarter-finals, a 2-1 win at Old Trafford against Man Utd, a 3-0 win over Wolves and a 2-2 draw away at Bournemouth last week.

That four goal thrillers saw all goals scored after the hour mark along with Leeds’s last minute equaliser via Sean Longstaff.

Bet builder additions

Burnley have won just one of their last 25 Premier League games, losing 17 and drawing seven.

They do better away from home, but this game looks like one that Leeds will do well to shut them out of and not risk conceding at any stage. Leeds winning to nil adds a little bit more value/price to any bet builders and bets in general.

From the Premier League players this season to have had 40+ shots, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has the highest percentage of first time attempts – with a 79% rate, hitting 53 of his 67 first time.

The forward has hit great form for Leeds now having settled in more at the latter stages of the campaign.

For Everton the forward’s best recent goal tally was seven goals in the 2023/24 season, but he’s already bagged 11 for Leeds and there’s a suspicion that could still just be the start for his career in Yorkshire.

Leeds and Burnley are among the teams lowest in the rankings for most yellow cards in the Premier League, ranked 17th and 14th respectively.

Despite there not being that much to realistically fight for there should still be a couple of bookings in the offing.

• Bet on Leeds to win to nil at 4/5 on Betfred
• Bet on Leeds to win to nil and Calvert-Lewin to score at 5/2 on Sky Bet
• Back Leeds to win, BTTS – no, Calvert-Lewin to score and over 7 cards at 7/2 on SBK

Leeds United vs Burnley latest odds

Find the latest Leeds United vs Burnley betting odds here. Odds are provided by Betfred and are subject to change.

• Leeds United – 2/5
• Draw – 18/5
• Burnley – 13/2

More Premier League predictions

Find more predictions and betting tips from our expert punters in our match previews on the Premier League, Champions League, Championship, League One and more!

Important historical facts about Leeds United and Burnley for betting

Leeds lost 1-0 at Elland Road to Burnley in the Championship last season, but have never lost consecutive home league games against the Clarets.

Burnley could snatch just their third ever league double over Leeds United with a win on Friday night, having only ever done so in their 1926/27 and 2013/14 campaigns.

Leeds have failed to score in each of their last three league encounters against the Clarets, yet prior to this run had never gone consecutive matches without scoring a goal against them.

Leeds are however, unbeaten in their last five league games, winning twice and drawing three. They’ve both earned as many points and scored more goals in their last three than they had in their previous eight combined.

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